Beef’s Bracketology – January 7, 2019 Edition

Beef's Bracketology

Not going to get too crazy here, as this is the first installment and teams have barely started getting into conference action in most parts of the country. I don’t plan on doing a release for two more weeks, which is normal. Things will start getting a little more serious then and I’ll make a decision as to wait two more weeks or to start hitting it hard.

Had to create a new metric again this year. It’s still similar to what I’d created before with the RiSK Rankings. But since the NCAA decided to scrap the RPI as a major sorting and seeding component, I did too. So the Ken Pomeroy Efficiency Ratings are still part of my formula, as is the Jeff Sagarin Computer Ratings. The third component now is the NCAA’s NET Ranking Tool. So moving the letters around, my metric is now called SKiN. Again, the “i” is just added in there so the metric has an actual word for its identity.

The SKiN Ratings are derived from equal parts of each team’s Sagarin, KenPom and NET rankings. It’s not an end-all be-all, as far as selection or seeding goes. But I’m guessing that, like RiSK in the past, it should be a pretty solid indicator.

The SKiN Rankings only include the teams closest to qualifying for at-large bids or those in the immediate hunt for their conference’s automatic bid. At this point, these will just be the teams with the best records in each conference. Each conference will have at least their top two teams included. The will be linked below. Also linked will be a mock bracket of how those qualifying teams might look in a season’s end bracket, if the season were to end right now. So there’s no fortune telling here.

SKiN Rankings

Beef’s Bracketology Bracket