Beef’s Season’s-End Massey Bracketology, Post-Week 9

Hot Beef Take

Three weeks to go, the computer is starting to get a real gauge on teams. That is until the upset bug comes along and puts everything back in a blender. So let’s take a look at what the computer says this week and what the bracket might look like with those results.

Disclaimer: Remember, for this exercise, I’m using the current Ken Massey computer ratings, more importantly the projections toward season’s end. With those records, I am putting together this exclusive FCS Bracketology for On Press Row. Only the contenders in each conference are listed, those teams being 5-6 or better overall. This doesn’t necessarily hit all the 5-6 teams in the one-bid, non-scholarship or minimal scholarship conferences.

Big Sky

  • Eastern Washington, 9-2 / 7-1 … automatic
  • UC-Davis, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Weber State, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Idaho State, 7-4 / 6-2
  • Montana State, 6-5 / 4-4
  • Montana, 6-5 / 4-4

Big South

  • Kennesaw State, 10-1 / 5-0 … automatic
  • Monmouth, 8-3 / 4-1
  • Charleston Southern, 5-6 / 3-2
  • Campbell, 6-5 / 1-4

Colonial

  • Elon, 8-2 / 7-1 …automatic
  • James Madison, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Delaware, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Towson, 7-4 / 5-3 … at-large
  • Stony Brook, 7-4 / 5-3
  • Maine, 6-5 / 5-3
  • Rhode Island, 6-5 / 4-4
  • Villanova, 5-6 / 2-6

FCS Independent

  • North Dakota, 8-3 / xxx … at-large

Mid-Eastern

  • North Carolina A&T, 9-2 / 6-1 … at-large

Missouri Valley

  • North Dakota State, 11-0 / 8-0 … automatic
  • South Dakota State, 8-2 / 6-2 … at-large
  • Western Illinois, 7-4 / 6-2 … at-large
  • Northern Iowa, 7-4 / 6-2 … at-large
  • Illinois State, 7-4 / 4-4

Northeast

  • Sacred Heart, 8-3 / 6-0 … automatic
  • Central Connecticut State, 7-4 / 5-1
  • Duquesne, 6-5 / 3-3
  • Bryant, 6-5 / 3-3

Ohio Valley

  • Southeast Missouri State, 8-3 / 6-2 … automatic
  • Jacksonville State, 8-3 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Austin Peay, 7-4 / 5-3
  • Murray State, 5-6 / 5-3
  • Eastern Kentucky, 6-5 / 4-3

Patriot

  • Colgate, 9-1 / 6-0 … automatic
  • Holy Cross, 5-6 / 5-1
  • Georgetown, 5-6 / 4-2

Pioneer

  • San Diego, 9-2 / 8-0 … automatic
  • Stetson, 9-1 / 7-1
  • Drake, 7-3 / 6-2
  • Dayton, 6-5 / 5-3

Southern

  • Samford, 7-4 / 6-2 … automatic
  • Wofford, 8-3 / 6-2 … at-large
  • Furman, 6-4 / 6-2
  • Chattanooga, 7-4 / 5-3
  • East Tennessee State, 7-4 / 5-3
  • Mercer, 5-6 / 4-4

Southland

  • McNeese, 9-2 / 8-1 …automatic
  • Nicholls, 8-3 / 7-2 … at-large
  • Central Arkansas, 8-3 / 7-2 … at-large
  • Sam Houston State, 7-4 / 6-3
  • Incarnate Word, 5-6 / 5-3
  • Abilene Christian, 5-6 / 4-5

Massey Bracket – Post Week 9

The last few spots were very difficult this time around. The final group consisted of Idaho State, Illinois State, North Carolina A&T, Central Arkansas, Towson, Stony Brook and Furman. Four of these seven needed to be eliminated. Illinois State was out due to only having six Division I wins, even though one was against FBS Colorado State. The fact they finished 4-4 in conference hurt them. Furman lost out because they only had six Division I wins in a ten game schedule. But it was decided they probably would have lost that eleventh game had it been played (to Colgate). Stony Brook lost head-to-head against Towson, instantly putting one in and knocking the other out. Despite the worst overall schedule, North Carolina A&T received a bid because they won the two most important games they played (Jacksonville State and FBS East Carolina). The final bid was awarded to Central Arkansas, who actually didn’t have better wins than Idaho State, but all of their wins were Division I. One of Idaho State’s was a non-Division I opponent, knocking them from consideration.