Beef’s Season’s-End Massey Bracketology, Post-Week 8

Hot Beef Take

Been wondering if the last two weeks of chaos really would make that big of a difference in the overall platting of the bracket. Well, the computer has spoken and the results are below. Mayhem…engaged!

Remember, for this exercise, I’m using the current Ken Massey computer ratings, more importantly the projections toward season’s end. With those records, I am putting together this exclusive FCS Bracketology for On Press Row. Only the contenders in each conference are listed, those teams being 5-6 or better overall. This doesn’t necessarily hit all the 5-6 teams in the one-bid, non-scholarship or minimal scholarship conferences.

Big Sky

  • Eastern Washington, 9-2 / 7-1 … automatic
  • UC-Davis, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Idaho State, 8-3 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Weber State, 7-4 / 5-3 … at-large
  • Montana State, 6-5 / 4-4
  • Montana, 6-5 / 4-4
  • Northern Arizona, 5-6 / 4-4

Big South

  • Kennesaw State, 9-2 / 5-0 … automatic
  • Monmouth, 8-3 / 4-1
  • Charleston Southern, 6-5 / 3-2
  • Campbell, 7-4 / 2-3

Colonial

  • Elon, 8-2 / 7-1 …automatic
  • James Madison, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Delaware, 9-2 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Towson, 7-4 / 5-3 … at-large
  • Stony Brook, 7-4 / 5-3
  • Rhode Island, 6-5 / 4-4
  • Maine, 5-6 / 4-4
  • Villanova, 6-5 / 3-5
  • Richmond, 5-6 / 3-5

FCS Independent

  • North Dakota, 9-2 / xxx … at-large

Mid-Eastern

  • North Carolina A&T, 9-2 / 6-1

Missouri Valley

  • North Dakota State, 11-0 / 8-0 … automatic
  • Northern Iowa, 8-3 / 7-1 … at-large
  • Illinois State, 8-3 / 5-3 …at-large
  • South Dakota State, 7-3 / 5-3 … at-large
  • Western Illinois, 5-6 / 4-4
  • South Dakota, 5-6 / 4-4
  • Missouri State, 5-6 / 3-5

Northeast

  • Sacred Heart, 8-3 / 6-0 … automatic
  • Central Connecticut State, 7-4 / 5-1
  • Duquesne, 6-5 / 3-3
  • Bryant, 6-5 / 3-3

Ohio Valley

  • Jacksonville State, 8-3 / 7-1 … automatic
  • Southeast Missouri State, 8-3 / 6-2
  • Murray State, 6-5 / 6-2
  • Austin Peay, 7-4 / 5-3
  • Eastern Kentucky, 6-5 / 4-3

Patriot

  • Colgate, 9-1 / 6-0 … automatic
  • Holy Cross, 5-6 / 5-1
  • Georgetown, 5-6 / 4-2

Pioneer

  • San Diego, 9-2 / 8-0 … automatic
  • Stetson, 9-1 / 7-1
  • Drake, 7-3 / 6-2

Southern

  • Samford, 7-4 / 6-2 … automatic
  • Wofford, 8-3 / 6-2 … at-large
  • Chattanooga, 7-4 / 5-3
  • East Tennessee State, 7-4 / 5-3
  • Mercer, 6-5 / 5-3
  • Furman, 5-5 / 5-3

Southland

  • Central Arkansas, 9-2 / 8-1 …automatic
  • McNeese, 8-3 / 7-2 … at-large
  • Nicholls, 8-3 / 7-2 … at-large
  • Sam Houston State, 7-4 / 6-3
  • Incarnate Word, 6-5 / 5-3
  • Abilene Christian, 5-6 / 4-5

Post-Week 8 Massey Bracket

The final two national seeds came down to four teams; Delaware, Northern Iowa, Central Arkansas and Colgate. Delaware finishing 9-2 with a 7-1 CAA record deserves a spot. If it’s good enough for James Madison and Elon(with one less win by thunderstorm postponement), it should be enough for them. Northern Iowa, having the nation’s toughest schedule and a second place record in the first or second rated conference gets the final nod. Central Arkansas loses the bid, closely, because of the Southland’s overall weakness compared to the MVFC, despite a better record. Colgate, with a superior record to each and no FCS losses, still misses out because of their vastly inferior schedule.

The very final at-large bid came down to Towson, Stony Brook and North Carolina A&T. Towson beat Stony Brook, basically eliminating them. North Carolina A&T had great wins over Jacksonville State and FBS East Carolina, but horrible losses to Florida A&M and Morgan State. Consistency wins out this time around for Towson, but it was very close.