Beef’s Bracketology, March 5 Edition

Beef's Bracketology

We’ve already got a handful of conferences who have finished up their individual tournaments. A few others are in the process, including a couple that will crown their champions the evening this comes out. The vast majority will take place on this weekend before Selection Sunday. I will have one final update to Beef’s Bracketology on Saturday evening. Most likely I’ll have a couple contingencies depending on who wins those last few conference tourneys on Sunday.

The Atlantic Coast is really cranking it up now, taking ten bids. A lot of that stems from a healthy Notre Dame who will get the benefit of getting the butter for their bread back. Of course, that could be blown with an early exit in the ACC tournament, but if they happen to win into the semifinals, they’d be a lock. They might be with a quarterfinals appearance. The Big Ten is going like they’re going to just miss the cut with all of their bubble teams, but those four that are locks are all looking at top 5 seeds at worst. Still only have five mid-majors in, but that is hardly anything of a certainty. Results this weekend are going to play big, whether The Committee admits it or not.

March Madness is already here!

The multi-bid conferences look like this…

  • 10, Atlantic Coast (+1 this week)
  • 7, Southeastern (-1 this week)
  • 6, Big XII
  • 5, Big East
  • 4, Big Ten (-1 this week)
  • 3, Pacific Twelve (-1 this week)
  • 3, American
  • 2, Atlantic Ten
  • 2, Mountain West
  • 2, West Coast

The last four teams in, with byes are: North Carolina State, Louisville, Boise State, Kansas State

The last four teams in, playing in play-in games are: Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Texas

The first eight teams missing the cut are: Providence, Baylor, Arizona State, Utah, Penn State, Oregon, Marquette, Maryland

Linked below is the projected bracket as it would sit today. Also below are the current RiSK Rankings. RiSK is an equal, three-part compilation of each contenders RPI(R), Sagarin(S) and KenPom(K) Rankings. There are numerous teams not shown who may actually have better numbers than some of those shown, but many of those towards the bottom of the RiSK are one of the top two teams from conferences that will only receive one bid(its automatic). They are included because they’re being tracked for those automatic bids. Teams will appear and fall off fluidly until mid-February, when the contenders are more concrete. This RiSK Ranking is not an end-all as far as selection or seeding, but it seems to be a pretty solid and usual tool.

Beef’s Bracket

RiSK Rankings